Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 6.848407 7.917358 9.057429 10.359410 11.800583 13.342508 15.112371
2025-07-06 4.943940 6.319656 7.896720 9.820581 12.085660 14.649281 17.750844
2025-07-13 4.077375 5.702843 7.687810 10.247773 13.416992 17.166463 21.889206
2025-07-20 3.552983 5.391797 7.766926 10.979986 15.127864 20.215128 26.831329
2025-07-27 3.102257 5.086952 7.788064 11.603459 16.714148 23.179972 31.819950
2025-08-03 2.583743 4.591561 7.473546 11.722392 17.620496 25.305397 35.836934
2025-08-10 2.064772 3.997549 6.930305 11.445775 17.939592 26.646108 38.869275
2025-08-17 1.668178 3.517361 6.479404 11.231420 18.292921 28.009951 41.950119
2025-08-24 1.374498 3.149816 6.144573 11.136445 18.778960 29.543308 45.284111
2025-08-31 1.135413 2.830075 5.838756 11.042077 19.235870 31.029353 48.580746
2025-09-07 1.021194 2.724772 5.874728 11.480607 20.500290 33.696224 53.594030
2025-09-14 0.866765 2.505453 5.680801 11.517542 21.135933 35.462453 57.375633
2025-09-21 0.674763 2.164722 5.229157 11.092377 21.039722 36.178723 59.730757
2025-09-28 0.514305 1.849985 4.777484 10.616395 20.819700 36.686467 61.788479
2025-10-05 0.469701 1.813134 4.872580 11.125694 22.241336 39.741145 67.691370
2025-10-12 0.453954 1.850449 5.124530 11.939763 24.208898 43.700215 75.048216
2025-10-19 0.428390 1.854071 5.303533 12.625500 25.984715 47.410748 82.121938
2025-10-26 0.367734 1.737037 5.202898 12.764825 26.821571 49.664522 87.042512
2025-11-02 0.291380 1.543256 4.899219 12.476592 26.888149 50.684477 90.094036
2025-11-09 0.231935 1.380911 4.641493 12.251644 27.044378 51.839947 93.368769
2025-11-16 0.188414 1.256774 4.455518 12.152497 27.412328 53.337950 97.196442
2025-11-23 0.152230 1.143742 4.278382 12.052968 27.767426 54.816636 101.019374
2025-11-30 0.139680 1.129249 4.361545 12.522716 29.205461 58.139369 107.836530